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Asafa Powell predicts to run 9.65

3 May 2006

Asafa Powell (Image of Sport) Asafa Powell (Image of Sport)

By Sanjid Watson

World 100m record holder, Asafa Powell, has been predicted to run 9.65 seconds this season.

Powell, who holds the world 100m record of 9.77, which was done on June 14, 2005 in Athens' Olympic Stadium, has showed significant improvement within the last four seasons.

According to the 'statistical forecasting model', which inputs previous years performances to predict future results, Powell has it in him to run 9.65 seconds this season.

Inputted was Asafa's season best from 2001 to 2004 and the forecast model predicted that his 2005 season best would be 9.76 seconds, if it wasn't for a hamstring injury, which cut short his season.

The 22-year-old Powell suffered the injury at the National Championships in late June (2005). He again pulled up after only five metres at a meeting in Crystal Palace, England nearly two months after with a 2.5cm tear in his adductor longus muscle.

At the end of the 2005 season the model was updated with his 9.77-second world record and the model then predicted that for 2006 he would run 9.65 seconds!!!!

Earlier this season, Powell was quoted as saying – "it's my record and I can break it anytime".

The same model was used to predict Gatlin's feature. And base on his (Gatlin's) projection, the model predicts he will run 9.79 this season, two hundredths of a second off the previous world record.

However, Gatlin was quoted last moth, saying ""Last year I won the 100 metres at Crystal Palace in 9.89 seconds, which is the fastest time ever in Great Britain. I can't wait to see what I can do this time," he added while saying the 9.77 second is his target.

"With no World Championships this year, running fast times is going to be even more important, so I think it would be a great time to try for the 100-metre world record. I'm the world champion so of course I want the world record," Gatlin said.

Powell's coach, Stephen Francis, said Gatlin is going to be sorry he did not make use of Powell's absent from the track towards the end of last season.

"I don't think this 9.77 will be there sitting down for Gatlin to break," Francis said late last season.

"I suspect that when Gatlin finally gets around to make his world record attempt, he is going to see something a lot faster than 9.77," he said.

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